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Saturday, June 14, 2008

25% chance of striking NHL gold at 19

A look at who has gone 19th overall in the past 20 NHL entry drafts:

2007 - Logan MacMillan
2006 - Mark Mitera
2005 - Jakub Kindl
2004 - Lauri Korpikoski
2003 - Ryan Getzlaf
2002 - Jakub Koreis
2001 - Shaone Morrison
2000 - Krys Kolanos
1999 - Kirill Safronov
1998 - Robyn Regehr
1997 - Stefen Cherenski
1996 - Mathieu Descoteaux
1995 - Dmitri Nabokov
1994 - Chris Dingman
1993 - Landon Wilson
1992 - Martin Straka
1991 - Niklas Sunblad
1990 - Keith Tkachuk
1989 - Olaf Kolzig
1988 - Francois Leroux
1987 - Byran Deasley

So there you have it. Over the past 20 drafts there have been 5 sure fire NHLers. Now granted its to early to call 2004 and up but 20 years is a pretty good sample to draw conclusions from.

25% chance of striking gold. Worth hanging onto the pick? Some say 2008 is the best draft since 2003.

My opinion. Heck no. Deal that sucker for someone who can contribute now.

-LTL

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Interesting post. You would think that there would be a higher chance since it is only 2nd round. I wonder what the Wings % of later rounders being legit NHL players is.

Also, just saw in the Dispatch that they have made some changes on their business side of things. It's about time.

Rick said...

Definately the pick. I just read in the Dispatch yesterday an interesting note about Ryan Malone. "An NHL source said the Penguins have already made the Blue Jackets an offer for Malone's rights. Not sure what the offer was, or if the Blue Jackets are still contemplating it. But this could go down pretty quick, folks.

Malone would definitely be happy to play for the Blue Jackets, a source said." -- Aaron Portzline

I still think we should go after Malone. 19th pick anyone?